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Section 8 cash flow analysis — Sarasota-Bradenton MSA

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Strong Cash Flow

5

2426 Music Ln, North Port, FL 34286

Strong Cash Flow
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$3,223
Cash Flow $675/mo
Cap Rate 9.4%
CoC Return 13.5%
Down (20%) $53,800
Repairs$1,200
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $60,000
1.20% rule (rent/price)

Excellent 2004 construction with backed-up mechanical systems: new roof (2022), brand-new A/C (2026), new exterior paint (2026). Cathedral ceilings, open layout, water treatment system. $675 monthly cash flow, 9.4% cap rate, 13.5% CoC return. Minimal repair risk—this is move-in ready with no surprise repair costs. Strong secondary property.

HQS: Low
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3057 Stowe Ter, North Port, FL 34286

Strong Cash Flow
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$3,223
Cash Flow $670/mo
Cap Rate 9.4%
CoC Return 13.4%
Down (20%) $53,980
Repairs$1,200
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $60,180
1.19% rule (rent/price)

Exceptional recent construction (2020) with new paint, new plank flooring, granite kitchen, and split floor plan. $670 monthly cash flow, 9.4% cap rate, 13.4% CoC return demonstrates strength of North Port 34286 payment standard ($3,223). Minimal HQS risk. Strong purchase for core portfolio.

HQS: Low
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1762 22nd St, Sarasota, FL 34234

Strong Cash Flow
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,772
Cash Flow $568/mo
Cap Rate 9.4%
CoC Return 12.3%
Down (20%) $46,000
Repairs$4,500
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $55,500
1.21% rule (rent/price)

Standout deal: 4BR/2BA 2002 property generates $568/month positive cash flow, 9.4% cap rate, and 12.3% cash-on-cash return. Recent construction (2002) minimizes HQS risk—only repair is water damage from broken pipe ($4.5K). Large 4-bedroom appeals to bigger families on Section 8, reducing vacancy risk. Motivated seller pricing ('priced to sell') with only 10 days on market offers negotiation opportunity. Excellent rent-to-price ratio for Sarasota.

HQS: Low 10 days on marketpriced to sellinvestor specialwater damage from broken water pipe
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405 Ravenna St S, Nokomis, FL 34275

Strong Cash Flow
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,772
Cash Flow $384/mo
Cap Rate 8.2%
CoC Return 7.7%
Down (20%) $51,980
Repairs$3,000
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $59,980
1.07% rule (rent/price)

Excellent 2004 construction with cathedral ceilings, stainless steel appliances, and open floor plan. $384 monthly cash flow, 8.2% cap rate, low repair estimate. Nokomis location with 34275 payment standard ($2,772) provides solid cash flow and pass-through economics for Section 8 tenant.

HQS: Low
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6329 11th Street Ct E, Bradenton, FL 34203

Strong Cash Flow
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,332
Cash Flow $365/mo
Cap Rate 8.5%
CoC Return 6.1%
Down (20%) $41,600
Repairs$25,000
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $71,600
1.12% rule (rent/price)

Strong 8.5% cap rate and $365/month positive cash flow on 1589 sqft (excellent rent-to-size ratio). 1/3+ acre corner lot with pool adds value. 'Clean slate for renovation' means cosmetic-to-moderate work needed ($25K), but cash flow margin supports repairs. No HOA provides full control. Well-established Bradenton location near schools and shops.

HQS: High 10 days on market 1968 build—HVAC, plumbing, electrical, potential lead paintpool—additional maintenance expense and HQS liability if non-functional
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Worth Investigating

22

4444 Webber St, Sarasota, FL 34232

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,893
Cash Flow $1,093/mo
Cap Rate 14.6%
CoC Return 25.2%
Down (20%) $31,980
Repairs$15,000
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $51,980
1.81% rule (rent/price)

Extraordinary metrics: $1,093/month cash flow, 14.6% cap rate, 25.2% CoC return are among best in batch. Just listed (6 days), offered as-is requiring full renovation in a rapidly improving Sarasota Springs neighborhood. 1959 vintage with full renovation needed suggests significant systems work, potential code violations, possible foundation or roof issues. $15K repair estimate seems low for as-is full renovation—actual costs may reach $30-40K. Strong returns IF repairs contain within estimate.

HQS: High sold as-isrequires full renovationvalue-add language indicates major work neededjust listed (may be desperate seller) 1959 vintage = lead paint certainas-is sale suggests unknown issues (foundation, roof, systems)repair estimate of $15K likely understates full renovation costunknown structural/foundation conditionpotential environmental issues not disclosed
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2210 Woodmere Rd, Venice, FL 34293

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,244
Cash Flow $346/mo
Cap Rate 8.5%
CoC Return 8.7%
Down (20%) $39,999
Repairs$3,000
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $47,999
1.12% rule (rent/price)

1990 construction with 8.5% cap rate and $346 monthly cash flow. 2-car garage with workbenches adds tenant value. However, 52 days on market is critical red flag—7+ weeks with no sale indicates serious market resistance or undisclosed issues (condition, flood risk, neighborhood problems, or pricing misalignment). Significant inspection required before offer.

HQS: Medium 52 days on market—7+ weeks indicates major market rejection Extended market time suggests underlying issues not apparent in listing: possible mold, foundation issues, flood zone, or neighborhood problems. Schedule professional inspection before proceeding.
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308 N Mills Ave, Arcadia, FL 34266

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$1,815
Cash Flow $324/mo
Cap Rate 9.0%
CoC Return 5.4%
Down (20%) $30,000
Repairs$37,500
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $72,500
1.21% rule (rent/price)

Lowest price in batch and just listed (9 days). 9% cap rate and 5.4% CoC return are decent. However, $37.5K repair estimate (25% of purchase price!) and 'good bones' language signal major unknowns. 1958 vintage with AC already replaced suggests other systems aging. Investor-special language indicates property needs significant work beyond cosmetics. Repair costs could easily exceed estimate, eliminating returns. Strong location in Arcadia—if repairs truly limited to $37.5K, could work, but high risk.

HQS: High investor special languagejust listed suggests distressed situation'good bones' indicates hidden issues$37.5K repair estimate is substantial 1958 vintage = definite lead paintproperty described as needing work despite being 'good bones'extremely high repair estimate relative to purchase priceunknown scope of required workAC replacement suggests other systems agingCoC return of 5.4% is marginal if repairs exceed estimate
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707 Ohara Dr, Arcadia, FL 34266

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,409
Cash Flow $319/mo
Cap Rate 8.1%
CoC Return 7.1%
Down (20%) $45,000
Repairs$4,000
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $54,000
1.07% rule (rent/price)

Solid 8.1% cap rate with $319/month positive cash flow. 'Adorable' 3BR/1.5BA in desirable in-town Arcadia location near parks and shopping. Updated kitchen and bathrooms reduce HQS risk. Minimal repair needs ($4K). Flexible bonus room/fourth bedroom option adds versatility. No HOA provides full control. Only concern—31 days on market suggests market testing.

HQS: Low-Medium 31 days on market 1982 build—typical systems aging1.5 bathrooms for 3BR is tight for modern Section 8—verify tenant demand
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2344 Melrose Dr, North Port, FL 34289

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,750
Cash Flow $302/mo
Cap Rate 7.9%
CoC Return 6.4%
Down (20%) $48,400
Repairs$3,000
HOA/mo $175
Total Cash In $56,400
1.14% rule (rent/price)

Short sale at bank-approved price provides modest deal potential. 2007 construction, freshly painted, and updated kitchen support low HQS risk. Cap rate of 7.9% meets baseline; monthly cash flow of $302 is respectable. Main concern: CoC return of 6.4% is below 10% target and HOA of $175/month is significant. Verify HOA allows Section 8 rentals before proceeding. North Port is affordable market with strong Section 8 demand.

HQS: Low Short sale statusBank-approved pricing suggests prior distress HOA $175/month—verify Section 8 rental restrictions in covenantsCoC return below 10% thresholdShort sale may have undisclosed issues
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6377 Myrtlewood Rd, North Port, FL 34287

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,321
Cash Flow $283/mo
Cap Rate 7.9%
CoC Return 6.4%
Down (20%) $43,980
Repairs$4,000
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $52,980
1.06% rule (rent/price)

1984 construction described as beautifully updated with open floor plan and 2 full baths. $283 monthly cash flow and 7.9% cap rate acceptable for portfolio diversification. Medium HQS risk manageable. Lower CoC return (6.4%) limits appeal—work only if bundled with other properties or priced below $210K.

HQS: Medium
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4371 Sandner Dr #4371, Sarasota, FL 34243

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,574
Cash Flow $279/mo
Cap Rate 8.4%
CoC Return 6.8%
Down (20%) $34,000
Repairs$10,000
HOA/mo $506
Total Cash In $49,000
1.51% rule (rent/price)

Motivated seller and discounted price ($170K) yield 8.4% cap rate with positive $279/month cash flow. Hidden Hollow's all-inclusive HOA ($506) covers maintenance, utilities, and grounds—reduces landlord burden but compress margins. Built 1974 needs lead paint clearance. Strong value for turnkey maintenance-free community if HOA permits Section 8.

HQS: Medium motivated sellerbelow market value190 days on market pre-1978 lead painthigh HOA ($506/mo)must verify HOA permits Section 8 rentals
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7653 Plantation Cir, Bradenton, FL 34201

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,937
Cash Flow $276/mo
Cap Rate 7.8%
CoC Return 5.9%
Down (20%) $48,000
Repairs$3,000
HOA/mo $358
Total Cash In $56,000
1.22% rule (rent/price)

Well-maintained 2003 construction in prestigious University Park/Carolina Landings community with water views. Minimal repair needs ($3K), open floor plan, and solid 7.8% cap rate. $276/month positive cash flow and low HQS risk make this move-in ready. HOA of $358 is reasonable for amenities. Verify Carolina Landings HOA rental policy.

HQS: Low 5 days on market—fresh listing $358 HOA—verify Section 8 rentals allowed in University Park/Carolina Landings
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5358 Blue Horizon Way, Wimauma, FL 33598

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,673
Cash Flow $268/mo
Cap Rate 7.6%
CoC Return 5.3%
Down (20%) $53,000
Repairs$3,000
HOA/mo $8
Total Cash In $61,000
1.01% rule (rent/price)

2023 new construction guarantees HQS compliance—minimal repair risk. 4BR commands competitive $2,673 rent in emerging Wimauma market. Positive $268/month cash flow with 7.6% cap rate acceptable for short-sale velocity. Minimal HOA ($8/month) and near-zero repair costs ($3K) are major advantages, though short-sale status requires timely close coordination.

HQS: Low short sale182 days on market short sale - verify lending approvalnew construction warranty issues possibleWimauma location more remote
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1330 Glen Oaks Dr E Unit 269D

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,200
Cash Flow $183/mo
Cap Rate 8.1%
CoC Return 6.3%
Down (20%) $26,000
Repairs$4,000
HOA/mo $560
Total Cash In $35,000
1.69% rule (rent/price)

Corner unit in 55+ community with strong 8.1% cap rate and low entry price ($130K). Monthly cash flow of $183 and CoC return of 6.3% are respectable. However, need to verify HOA allows Section 8 rentals and that 55+ restriction doesn't prohibit non-senior tenants. 1978 build requires HQS review for systems.

HQS: Medium Quick sale (4 days on market) 55+ community may restrict Section 8 rentalsPre-1978 (lead paint disclosure required)High HOA fees ($560/month)
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6911 Kenwood Dr, North Port, FL 34287

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$1,771
Cash Flow $136/mo
Cap Rate 7.3%
CoC Return 3.3%
Down (20%) $35,000
Repairs$10,000
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $50,000
1.01% rule (rent/price)

One of few positive-cash-flow deals: $136/month with strong 7.3% cap rate. Built 1981 (medium HQS risk) but oversized corner lot is desirable. Estimated repairs of $10k are primary concern; after repairs, still cash-positive. Deserves detailed inspection and repair scope verification.

HQS: Medium
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4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 407A, Bradenton, FL 34209

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,134
Cash Flow $132/mo
Cap Rate 7.6%
CoC Return 3.9%
Down (20%) $25,800
Repairs$10,000
HOA/mo $567
Total Cash In $40,800
1.65% rule (rent/price)

This is the batch's only positive-cash-flow deal at +$132/month. The 7.6% cap rate is the strongest in the batch, and the $129K price point is the lowest. However, cash flow is minimal, and CoC return of 3.9% is underwhelming. Top-floor placement (no upstairs neighbors) is desirable for Section 8 tenants. Property needs negotiation: aim to get price down to $119-120K or negotiate rent increase to $2,200+/month to achieve acceptable returns.

HQS: Medium CoC return (3.9%) below target 8-10%Monthly cash flow only $132 (minimal buffer for vacancy or unexpected repairs)
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8540 Daybreak St

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,618
Cash Flow $122/mo
Cap Rate 7.0%
CoC Return 2.5%
Down (20%) $51,000
Repairs$3,000
HOA/mo $174
Total Cash In $59,000
1.03% rule (rent/price)

Brand-new 2024 townhome in Skye Ranch with strong 7.0% cap rate and low HQS risk. However, monthly cash flow of $122 and CoC return of only 2.5% are weak. Low HOA ($174) is a plus, but the property needs negotiation on price or terms to generate meaningful cash flow.

HQS: Low
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3221 Beneva Rd #102

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,200
Cash Flow $121/mo
Cap Rate 7.3%
CoC Return 3.1%
Down (20%) $31,980
Repairs$10,000
HOA/mo $438
Total Cash In $46,980
1.38% rule (rent/price)

Village Brooke offers excellent value at $159.9K with strong 7.3% cap rate and $121/month positive cash flow. Low HOA ($438) and abundant amenities (2 pools, tennis, shuffleboard) support tenant appeal. However, 1978 construction year and estimated $10K HQS repairs are concerns. The combination of positive cash flow and cap rate above 7% makes this worth investigating despite repair costs.

HQS: Medium Quick sale (3 days on market) Pre-1978 (lead paint disclosure required)Estimated HQS repairs $10K (medium-high cost)
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5180 Northridge Rd #110, Sarasota, FL 34238

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,596
Cash Flow $46/mo
Cap Rate 6.7%
CoC Return 1.2%
Down (20%) $39,980
Repairs$1,200
HOA/mo $572
Total Cash In $46,180
1.30% rule (rent/price)

Sarasota townhome in gated Palmer Ranch with modern construction (1999), new AC (2024), and minimal repairs needed presents low HQS risk. Positive cash flow of $46/month and 6.7% cap rate are marginal but workable. However, 1.2% CoC return is unacceptably low—too much capital deployed for minimal return. Pass unless renegotiate significantly lower.

HQS: Low 10 days on market cash-on-cash return only 1.2% — too low despite positive cash flowhigh HOA ($572/month) constrains profitability
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5052 Trekell St, North Port, FL 34287

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,321
Cash Flow $5/mo
Cap Rate 6.4%
CoC Return 0.1%
Down (20%) $53,000
Repairs$10,000
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $68,000
0.88% rule (rent/price)

Breakeven property (+$5/mo) with no HOA and cap rate 6.4% - best mechanics in batch. 1980 build needs HQS inspection (expect roof, HVAC work). Paint and flooring recently updated per listing. Negotiation opportunity: if seller drops to $245K, cash flow becomes +$350/mo and CoC jumps to 5%+. No HOA restriction.

HQS: Medium 1980 build - HQS inspection will likely reveal HVAC/plumbing/electrical needsWaterfront property may have flood insurance premium
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300 River Blvd S, Nokomis, FL 34275

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,112
Cash Flow $-1/mo
Cap Rate 6.4%
CoC Return 0.0%
Down (20%) $48,000
Repairs$1,200
HOA/mo $0
Total Cash In $54,200
0.88% rule (rent/price)

This is the only property in the batch with negotiation potential. Built 2006 with new roof (2025), low HQS compliance risk, no HOA, and no flood zone make it fundamentally sound. Currently break-even (-$1 cash flow) due to being fully furnished for Airbnb operation. The seller's explicit motivation ("very motivated to sell") combined with 227 days on market suggests opportunity for 10-15% price negotiation. At negotiated $205K-210K, this flips to positive cash flow of $200+/month and CoC of 10%+. Worth engaging seller on price, especially discussing Airbnb-to-Section8 transition strategy.

HQS: Low "Seller is very motivated to sell" – strong negotiation signal227 days on market – indicates seller pressureCurrently active Airbnb (limited showings mentioned)Underperforming investment as furnished STR hints at opportunity
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5110 Northridge Rd #202

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,596
Cash Flow $-6/mo
Cap Rate 6.3%
CoC Return -0.2%
Down (20%) $40,900
Repairs$3,000
HOA/mo $597
Total Cash In $48,900
1.27% rule (rent/price)

Serenade community near Skye Ranch Elementary is essentially break-even at -$6/month, with a solid 6.3% cap rate. In-unit laundry and recent updates suggest low HQS risk. With modest price negotiation (2-3%), this could swing to positive cash flow and become an attractive deal.

HQS: Low Quick sale (3 days on market) Break-even property (highly sensitive to expense changes)High HOA fees ($597/month)
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3781 59th Ave W, Bradenton, FL 34210

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$1,837
Cash Flow $-15/mo
Cap Rate 6.2%
CoC Return -0.4%
Down (20%) $25,980
Repairs$10,000
HOA/mo $480
Total Cash In $40,980
1.41% rule (rent/price)

Exceptionally tight deal at break-even (-$15/month). Lowest purchase price in batch offsets aging property (1986). Cap rate 6.2% is respectable if repair estimate ($10K) can be reduced via negotiation. Mirror Lake community is stable. Viable only if purchased below asking or repairs prove minimal.

HQS: Medium razor-thin cash flow margin leaves no buffer for vacancy or unplanned repairs

5685 Gardens Dr

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$2,574
Cash Flow $-18/mo
Cap Rate 6.3%
CoC Return -0.4%
Down (20%) $45,600
Repairs$4,000
HOA/mo $447
Total Cash In $54,600
1.13% rule (rent/price)

This turnkey furnished condo is nearly break-even with only $18/month negative cash flow. Cap rate of 6.3% is respectable. Location in Lakewood Ranch area with strong SHA payment standard ($2,574) offers potential. Primary concern: furnished status may complicate Section 8 tenancy. Negotiation on price or HOA could flip this to positive cash flow.

HQS: Medium Turnkey furnished (unusual for Section 8 rental) Near break-even cash flow (highly sensitive to expenses)Furnished unit may indicate short-term rental focus
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13193 Forge Ave, Parrish, FL 34219

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$1,925
Cash Flow $-343/mo
Cap Rate 4.6%
CoC Return -7.6%
Down (20%) $45,999
Repairs$3,000
HOA/mo $260
Total Cash In $53,999
0.84% rule (rent/price)

Brand-new construction (2026, April completion) guarantees zero HQS risk and lowest repair costs ($3K estimated vs. $10K+ for aged properties). $343/month negative cash flow seems large, but lowest HOA in entire batch ($260) and newest construction offset this. If negotiated $15K-20K below asking or lease-up is delayed (reducing day-one negative impact), this becomes investable. New construction holds value better than 40-year-old condos.

HQS: Low

11479 52nd Ct E, Parrish, FL 34219

Worth Investigating
Purchase Price
$
Mo. Rent (SHA)$1,925
Cash Flow $-481/mo
Cap Rate 3.9%
CoC Return -10.7%
Down (20%) $45,980
Repairs$3,000
HOA/mo $399
Total Cash In $53,980
0.84% rule (rent/price)

Well-maintained 2005 villa (low HQS risk) in established Lexington community. $481/month negative cash flow and 3.9% cap rate normally disqualify. However, 49 days on market signals motivated seller—significant price reduction may be negotiable. Lowest HOA in Parrish listings ($399) is favorable. At 10-15% price reduction, becomes viable.

HQS: Low 49 days on market—prolonged listing indicates seller flexibility